So hypothetical we all seem to be playing with in our mind

This topic has 15 replies, 11 voices, and was last updated 5 years, 1 month ago by Tacoma Ute.

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- 10/13/2019 at 4:31 PM #108472
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  EagleMountainUte
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  Utah and SC win out. Obviously SC plays Oregon for the title game as it is looking now.
  
  Where does Utah land? NY6? Potentially get a good post season matchup?
- 10/13/2019 at 4:36 PM #108473
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  ProudUte
  Participant
  
  If we win out, we will be in a NY6 game IMO. I don’t see USC winning out. They will likely lose to Oregon and probably one other game.
  
  Do we win out? I’m not sure. Next week will tell me much more.
  - 10/13/2019 at 4:41 PM #108474
    
    EagleMountainUte
    Participant
    
    Oregon and ASU are obviously the most likely to give them an L. Maybe if Garbers gets back for Cal there is a potential third. I feel like Oregon may get upset.
    - 10/13/2019 at 5:25 PM #108479
      
      Central Coast Ute
      Participant
      
      Yeah I’m not sold on whoregon. USC also had been playing well at home.
      - 10/13/2019 at 5:40 PM #108481
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        EagleMountainUte
        Participant
        
        Oregon is typically a terrible matchup for SC. Coliseum being the X factor.
- 10/13/2019 at 5:04 PM #108477
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  Warrior Ute
  Participant
  
  I think the only available NY6 bowl this year is the Cotton Bowl. After the semi-final games being used by the Peach and Fiesta Bowl. Conference tie-ins for the Rose, Sugar and Orange would take all those places.
  
  The Cotton Bowl would likely have the highest rated G-5 team against a P-5 oponent. Not sure that is what I would like to see.
  
  I guess to avoid that we will have to win out and hope for U$C to drop another game.
- 10/13/2019 at 5:58 PM #108482
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  UteBacker
  Moderator
  
  Correct me if I’m wrong, but if we win out we will most certainly finish in the Top 12 which AUTOMATICALLY qualifies us for a New Year’s Six Bowl.
  
  From Wikipedia:
  
  The selection committee seeds and pairs the top four teams, and along with their final CFP rankings determine the participants for the other four non-playoff New Year’s Six bowls that are not hosting the semifinals that year. These four non-playoff bowls are also referred to as the Selection Committee bowl games. These six games focus on the top 12 teams in the rankings; to date during the College Football Playoff era (2014 through 2018 seasons), of the 60 teams to play in a New Year’s Six game, only six have been ranked lower than 12th.
  - 10/13/2019 at 6:32 PM #108486
    
    Warrior Ute
    Participant
    
    I think this is a year that we could see the non top 12 teams in the New Years Six:
    
    From Wikipedia:
    
    The following bowls have tie-ins with the following conference champions in the years they are not hosting playoff semifinals.
    
    Rose Bowl: Big Ten vs. Pac-12
    
    Sugar Bowl: SEC vs. Big 12
    
    Orange Bowl: ACC vs. Big Ten or SEC
    
    When the conference champion is unavailable, the bowls invite the next-best team from that conference. The Cotton, Fiesta and Peach Bowls have no conference tie-ins; as such, the best conference champion from the Group of Five ends up in one of those bowls if it doesn’t end up in a playoff semifinal.
    
    Because two of the three NY six bowls without a conference tie in are in the playoffs it changes the math. If Clemson makes the playoffs the next highest rated ACC team goes to the Orange Bowl. Right now would a 30th ranked Virginia would get the nod. The G5 are guaranteed one spot so that will have to go to the Cotton Bowl.
    
    If Oregon wins out and get invited to the playoffs and we are higher ranked than USC, then we might get invited to the Rose Bowl. If USC wins the Championship there is no way that they will be invited to the playoffs and they would go to the Rose Bowl. If the AP rankings today were the same at the end of the year
    
    This would be the bowl picture:
    
    Fiesta, Peach: Alabama-Ohio State, LSU-Clemson
    
    Rose Bowl:Wisconsin-Oregon
    
    Sugar:Oklahoma-Florida
    
    Orange: Penn State or Georgia – Virginia
    
    Cotton Bowl: At Large vs G5
    
    So for the one at large available game we have the following top 12 teams not in:
    
    Penn State or Georgia (depending on who Orange bowl takes)
    
    Notre Dame
    
    Auburn
    
    So potentially 2 of the top 12 teams could be left out.
- 10/13/2019 at 6:01 PM #108483
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  Hal Evans
  Participant
  
  If we win out and win the championship game we will be in the National Championship mix let alone NY6
  - 10/13/2019 at 6:07 PM #108484
    
    EagleMountainUte
    Participant
    
    SC wins out in my hypothetical.
    - 10/13/2019 at 6:30 PM #108485
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      UtahFanSir
      Participant
      
      Unfortunately, Utah must rely on others it cannot control to advance to the Pac-12 championship game. At this point having lost to USC, all Utah can do is control their own wins. Whether USC loses another conference game is completely out of Utah’s control. In my opinion, that fact has Utah playing like a team possessed.
  - 10/14/2019 at 11:41 AM #108549
    
    Utesbyfive
    Participant
    
    11-2 only gets us the Holiday Bowl again. Assuming the second loss is in the championship.
    - 10/14/2019 at 11:42 AM #108550
      
      Utesbyfive
      Participant
      
      dupe
- 10/14/2019 at 5:53 AM #108516
  
  RUUTES
  Participant
  
  I wish there was a scenario where we could play in the Orange bowl only because I do think we’ll get to play for the Roses sometime soon. And having won in the Fiesta and Sugar it would be cool to get a grand slam. But no scenario allows for that atm and I suspect we’ll have an 8 team playoff (good) fairly soon (5ish years).
- 10/14/2019 at 6:27 PM #108595
  
  PhiladelphiaUte
  Participant
  
  If we win out, and tie USC for the South title, we’ll get a NY6 bowl, but one that’s most likely vs. the G5 autobid team — which right now is looking like Boise St.
  - 10/14/2019 at 7:20 PM #108604
    
    Tacoma Ute
    Participant
    
    USU will take Boise out of it.
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