that’s Danny Sheridan line – more like his opinion on what the line SHOULD be. vegas is awaiting QB decision and usually releases these later lines on Wed/Thurs.
If Wilson is (as expected) the starter and what Adams is saying about his hand is true (its ~80% but won’t get worse) then I think your estimate is good, maybe even high. The way that Oregon’s defense has played, and the way our Offense is with Wilson, I think it could come down a bit, maybe even to 6.5 if confidence in Utah’s D rises.