I think in order for us to win the south, we need to hit a couple of benchmarks:

This topic has 11 replies, 4 voices, and was last updated 8 years, 3 months ago by noneyadb.

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- 09/18/2016 at 3:22 PM #13189
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  Utah
  Participant
  
  I think in order for us to win the south, we need to hit a couple of benchmarks:
  
  1 – we need to average 34 points per game. Reality: 26. Status: Failing. Trending: Up.
  2 – we need to average 225 yards passing per game. Reality: 249 yards. Status: Achieving. Trending: Even.
  3 – we need to average <1 TO per game. Reality: 3. Status: FAILING. Trending: Up.
  4 – we need to force >2 TO per game. Reality: 2.7. Status: Achieving. Trending: Up.
  5 – we need to average 175 yards rushing per game. Reality: 169. Status: Failing. Trending: Up.
  6 – we need to average >4.8 yards per carry. Reality: 4.4. Status: FAILING. Trending: Up.
  7 – we need to hold opponents to less than 120 yards rushing per game. Reality: 105. Status: Achieving. Trending: Up.
  
  So far: 3/7. Getting Better.
  Previous Weeks:
  2/7
  
  The bad news is that we are still failing. The good news is that we got a lot better in a lot of areas.
  
  At the end of the day, I’d say this so far:
  
  Our defense is special. Championship level.
  Our offense can be solid. Better than last year…IF they can quit turning the ball lover. We still had two TO’s last night.
  
  And both TO’s were silly. Dumb mistakes. Correctable…but, at some point mistakes quit being correctable and you are what you are.
  
  Is Troy Williams a liability in the red zone? That is the key.
- 09/18/2016 at 3:50 PM #13191
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  Anonymous
  Inactive
  
  Utah has had Championship level defense for awhile now. Just that s**tty offense that underwhelms every season.
- 09/18/2016 at 3:53 PM #13192
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  Anonymous
  Inactive
  
  On that Redzone turnover I felt that Utah should have scored on the ground. It was ridiculous the offense wasn’t getting push at all. Why not let TW run it in or read option it?
  - 09/18/2016 at 4:27 PM #13194
    
    Utah
    Participant
    
    I couldn’t agree more. I’d put fumbling, Troy’s unwillingness to throw the ball away in the red zone and the OL and Utah’s three problems right now.
    
    Fix those problems and the sky is the limit. Don’t fix those problems and we will fight for a bowl game.
- 09/18/2016 at 5:51 PM #13199
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  noneyadb
  Participant
  
  Some of these fields should have a buffer zone. Rushing within 6yds of 175 goal, is far from failing… Just my two cents.
- 09/18/2016 at 6:00 PM #13200
  
  noneyadb
  Participant
  
  Maybe add a field for defensive points allowed around <17pts/game and offense closer to >24 pts/game is a winning formula.
  - 09/18/2016 at 6:15 PM #13202
    Utah
    Participant
    It seems that in the PAC-12, you need to be plus 30 points to have a shot to win it all. If I remember correctly, we averaged 30 pts last year a game. I put 34 to stretch a bit. We should be able to get three points better per game…maybe…hopefully.
    
    This reply was modified 8 years, 3 months ago by Utah.
    - 09/18/2016 at 9:43 PM #13221
      
      Anonymous
      Inactive
      
      SUU and BYU I will say had respectable defenses. SJSU does not however so it makes me really worried Utah didn’t put 40 plus on them.
      - 09/18/2016 at 9:50 PM #13225
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        Tony (admin)
        Keymaster
        
        Well if we make a touchdown instead of throwing an interception in the endzone there’s your 40.
        
        09/18/2016 at 10:33 PM #13226
        1
        
        Anonymous
        Inactive
        
        Yeah that “if” is what worries me. It was a slow pass and double coverage. You wonder if it should have been thrown at all.
    - 09/18/2016 at 11:28 PM #13230
      
      noneyadb
      Participant
      
      Difficult thing about comparing this year to last year is that the Utes had two identities last year With-Booker, and Without-Booker.
      
      With-Booker 33.8 pts/game thru first 9 games
      
      Without-Booker 21.3 pts/game thru final 3 games
      
      (Didn’t include the Arizona game in totals)
      
      To say this team is going to put up as many points or more as they did last year with Booker, is possible but unsure on how realistic that is. So far this season the O-line has been a big question mark, and the issues with Joe Williams have held this team back.
      
      Maybe the Utes turn things around now, but I think a step back offensively and a step forward defensively, if possible, is more realistic.
      
      That 30.6 pts/game scored last year I think at 27.6 is more reasonable for this team, and 22.3 pts/gm allowed defensively at 19.3 is also reasonable. (take away the USC game and Utes allowed 20 pts/gm)
      
      So far the Utes are scoring 26 pts/gm and only allowing 12 pts/gm.
- 09/18/2016 at 6:14 PM #13201
  Utah
  Participant
  I agree with @noneyabd.
  
  Updated results:
  
  Some have correctly pointed out that there should be a buffer zone. So, if you are within 10% of the goal, you are almost there. 5%, we will curve you up.
  
  I think in order for us to win the south, we need to hit a couple of benchmarks:
  
  1 – we need to average 34 points per game. Reality: 26. Status: Failing. Trending: Up.
  2 – we need to average 225 yards passing per game. Reality: 249 yards. Status: Achieving. Trending: Even.
  3 – we need to average <1 TO per game. Reality: 3. Status: FAILING. Trending: Up.
  4 – we need to force >2 TO per game. Reality: 2.7. Status: Achieving. Trending: Up.
  5 – we need to average 175 yards rushing per game. Reality: 169. Status: Achieving. Trending: Up.
  6 – we need to average >4.8 yards per carry. Reality: 4.4. Status: Almost There. Trending: Up.
  7 – we need to hold opponents to less than 120 yards rushing per game. Reality: 105. Status: Achieving. Trending: Up.
  8 – we need to hold opponents to less than 24 points per game. Reality: 12 pts per game. Status: Achieving. Trending: Even.
  
  So far: 5/8. Getting Better. Almost there on the rushing yards per carry. It would be tough to get there vs USC, but vs Cal, we should be where we need to be.
  Previous Weeks:
  2/7.
  
  So, we went from 2/7 to 4/7 (almost 5) in one week. Not bad. We probably drop next week, but don’t sweat it too much. I’d expect us to be accomplishing all our goals after Cal, Arizona and Oregon State. That would be amazing and quite the game vs UCLA.
  - This reply was modified 8 years, 3 months ago by Utah.
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