Give me a rest-of-season scenario and I’ll tell you how the tiebreakers play out

At that point we’re 7-2 in conference.  So we’d need two things

1. Only 1 (or no) team with a single loss (so we’d need a USC loss to UCLA OR an Oregon loss to Oregon St)

2. Winning the tiebreaker – best way for this is if Washington wins out.  

If we’re in a tie with USC, UCLA (likely if UCLA beats USC) then we’d be out, since UCLA beat both of us.  But if Washington were also in the tiebreak, the 1st tiebreasker gets skipped and it goes to common opponents. Everyone has played Arizona and only UCLA lost so they’d get knocked out and then Utah would be in based on strength of conference schedule

If we’re in a tie with Oregon (so USC beat UCLA), then they get in over us.  But once again, if Washington gets added in, then that first tiebreaker is skipped and it ends up going to strength of conference schedule.  So we win.

Or if both USC and Oregon lose (to UCLA and Oregon St respectively) it gets really hairy, but we’d be in actually a very strong spot despite losing to Oregon.  As long as there’s a large tiebreaker, that first step gets skipped and we have the strongest conference schedule.

Oregon wins out
Utah beats Colorado
UCLA wins out
Washington wins out

Oregon vs who?

Would be Oregon vs Utah. USC, Utah, UCLA, Washington would all have 2 losses. Because they didn’t all play one another, 1st tiebreaker would be skipped. 2nd and 3rd tiebreakers would go through common opponents and eliminate UCLA (for their loss to Arizona). 4th tiebreaker would be conference strength of schedule which would be Utah

If Oregon beats us and Oregon St, then they only have one conference loss and we have 2. So we’d absolutely need USC to lose to UCLA to give them 2 conference losses, otherwise both Oregon and USC would be ahead of us.

If it ends up USC, Utah, UCLA all tied with 2 losses, then it goes to UCLA since they’d have beat both us and USC

But if Washington also in in there with only 2 losses (which means they win out), then it goes
Tiebreaker 1 (H2H): Skipped since not all teams in tiebreaker played one another
Tiebreaker 2 (Common opponents): Common conference opponents are Arizona, Arizona St, Colorado, Stanford. The only loss against any of those opponents would be UCLA so they’d be eliminated.
Tiebreaker 3 is just going through common opponents one at a time so wouldn’t make a difference here
Tiebreaker 4 is conference strength of schedule which would go to Utah.

Washington could still get in. Only way I see it is that if Utah loses to Oregon AND to Colorado (giving us 3 losses), UCLA loses to USC (giving UCLA 3 losses) and Oregon then loses to Oregon St (giving them 2 losses).

At that point 1 loss USC is Seed #1 and Washington wins the tiebreak over Oregon for Seed #2