Considering the Pac-12 as a whole, I’d say that there is greater than an 80% chance that Utah’s next starting QB will be a transfer who will most likely have started games at his previous school.
Keep your eyes on the portal in May as most likely Johnson or Rose will need to make a decision, especially if Barnes finishes spring ball as the titular QB1 (until Rising returns). Three QB’s in the same class isn’t sustainable long term. for either the kids or the program.
As much as many – myself included – are glad that Rising will be back in 23, it has created a huge problem for Utah at QB. Even if you assume that Howard is okay running scout team this fall, you still have 3 QB’s with roughly the same eligibility remaining who all expected Rising to be gone after 2022. I guarantee each of them had it in their plan to learn everything they could last year and put themselves into position for the starting job in 23. Not only has that gone out the window, they really don’t know what job they are auditioning for in the spring. Is it QB1 because Rising can’t rehab in time for the season? Is it QB2 where they will get a lot of reps to keep Rising fresh but they won’t ever get into games?