I have no idea. I think this will be a kid, like Zach Wilson, who will have a great career at BYU. There are so many variables at play that while I think this is a great question, the only people who really know are the kid, his parents and to some extent the coaches.
This is going back a long way, but his father originally signed with BYU but did not qualify and had to go to Snow. After a great couple of years at Snow, he signed with Utah.