4th Seed in play

So you are saying we don’t own the head to head?  I was wondering about that, because at this point we can only split, so it would be wins agains the higher placed teams, and the best team we’ll have beat is USC.  But that is also the best team they’ve beat and we each only beat them once.  Then it drops to Stanford, and we both split with them if we hold at home.  Then Colorado who we beat twice, so to me, we need to be big buff fans.  Because if we beat Cal next week, but they win at Colorado, they will be 2-0 vs our 1-0 with Colorado ending our chances, but if they win, we would be 11-7 and they would be 10-8.  But OMG USC has a cake walk of a home stretch, playing 3 of the bottom 4 in conference, so they are almost guaranteed 11-7 but we do own the tie break with them.  Am I even close to the mark?

Cal would win the tie breaker because they’d have swept Oregon State and we would have only split with them. It would be the ONLY difference in our records. We both got swept by Arizona (0-2/0-1). We both were swept by Oregon (both 0-2). We both were swept by UCLA (0-1). We both swept USC (1-0). We both would have swept Colorado (2-0). We both would have split with Stanford (1-1). We both swept Arizona State (2-0/1-0). We both swept Washington State (2-0/1-0). We both swept Washington (2-0/1-0). The only difference would be the fact that Cal swept Oregon State (if they win tonight at home), while we only split against the Beavers. That slight difference would then give Cal the tie breaker.