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Predict The Score Game – Averages Added

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    • 08/06/2017 at 1:10 PM #36426
      4
      Tony (admin)
      Keymaster

      If you look at the Predict the Score contest I’ve added the average of all the predictions. A couple have suggested this so I thought what the hell else am I going to do on a Sunday morning. As smart as most Ute fans are here it will be interesting to see how close they are.  The numbers can be skewed by people being silly though. I don’t think Utah will beat ND 100-0.  So if you see someone posting outlandish predictions, give them some crap and tell them to post a serious prediction!

      Cheers and GO UTES

    • 08/06/2017 at 3:24 PM #36429
      2
      Coreyc04
      Participant

      Damn it. Apparently you want me to move my prediction to 98-0.

    • 08/06/2017 at 3:57 PM #36430
      Mr Chainsaw
      Participant

      Obligatory stats comment. The median would be a better measure for this because it would throw out the ridiculous predictions.

      • 08/06/2017 at 4:01 PM #36433
        Tony (admin)
        Keymaster

        Yeah I looked at doing the median and I might do that.

      • 08/06/2017 at 6:46 PM #36437
        Tony (admin)
        Keymaster

        🙂 Ok I’ve done the median. Both numbers seem high to me (currently 45 24 Utah). I wonder if I can spit out the numbers for one of them and check them somehow.

        • 08/06/2017 at 7:17 PM #36440
          Tony (admin)
          Keymaster

          Ok I found a median calculator. My first function to calculate it was bad. Got it now. Current 41-10.

          • 08/06/2017 at 11:40 PM #36458
            1
            Mr Chainsaw
            Participant

            Nice! 41-10 seems very reasonable. It’ll be interesting to see how good the crowd-sourced numbers are at predicting the score vs any single user

    • 08/07/2017 at 9:54 AM #36466
      Tony (admin)
      Keymaster

      It’ll be interesting to see how good the crowd-sourced numbers are at predicting the score vs any single user

      Yes. I suppose now we could go back and look at last year’s predictions and see how good they are too. If it is nailed, some trips to wendover/vegas could be in order!

      • 08/07/2017 at 9:08 PM #36503
        FtheY
        Participant

        Good ole wisdom of the crowds. 

    • 08/08/2017 at 9:01 AM #36530
      KJU
      Participant

      My guess is that the Average (or Median) will end up over estimating the Utes margin of Victory. I know this is hard to believe and I myself don’t want to believe it but we are Fans and as such hold a smidgen of bias.

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