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Sagarin has us at 20th, having played the 4th toughest schedule in the country

Welcome Cyclones Fans! › Forums › Utah Utes Sports › Football › Sagarin has us at 20th, having played the 4th toughest schedule in the country

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    • 10/08/2018 at 3:27 PM #71491
      10
      rbmw263
      Participant

      stat models/vegas love us, and we really havent put it all together yet. The ceiling of this team remains very high.

    • 10/08/2018 at 4:14 PM #71497
      6 1
      St George Ute
      Participant

      Nice! I keep an eye on the Massey ratings each week. It has us favored to win all our remaining games. The Stanford win had a big part in that I think. IIRC, before Stanford I believe it had us losing 2 (incl. Stanford and Colorado), and had us in a toss-up with Oregon.

      Massey Ratings

      Massey projections:

      – South Division –

      Utah projected to go 10-2 (7-2 in conference)

      USC is favored in 5 of their next 7, 8-4 overall (7-2 in conf)

      Colorado is favored in only 3 of their next 7 games, if that holds true, then they finish 8-4 overall (5-4 in conf)

      Arizona is favored in 1 of their next 6, 4-8 overall (3-6 in conf)

      ASU is favored in 2 of their next 6, 5-7 overall (3-6 in conf)

      UCLA isn’t favored in any game, winless on the season, OUCH!

      If all the south projections work out as above, then Utah wins the South with the tiebreaker against USC.

      – North Division –

      Washington is favored to win all their remaining games, (11-1, 9-0 in conf)

      Stanford would finish 2nd (8-4, 7-2), followed by Wazzu (9-3, 6-3), Oregon (8-4, 5-4), Cal (5-7, 2-7),  and Oregon St (1-11, 0-9)

      Then Utah v Washington in the PAC-12 Championship game. I’d love another chance at the Dawgs.

      Go Utes!!!

      • 10/09/2018 at 9:13 AM #71553
        2
        Mano
        Participant

        Not to be “that guy”, but the Massey ratings having Utah as the favorites in the rest of their games is not the same as projecting that they go 10-2. If you are a 51-49 favorite in every game, you would be projected to finish around .500, not to go undefeated. If you believe the percentages Massey has for Utah, they would project Utah going 8-4.

        • 10/09/2018 at 10:21 AM #71569
          St George Ute
          Participant

          You are correct good sir. I kneel at your feet :).

          Allow me to update:

          South:
          USC (7-5, 6-3)
          Co (8-4, 5-4)
          Utah (8-4, 5-4)
          AZ (5-7, 4-5)
          ASU (6-6, 4-5)
          UCLA (2-10, 2-7)

          North:
          UW (10-2, 8-1)
          Stan (8-4, 6-3)
          WSU (9-3, 6-3)
          OR (8-4, 5-4)
          Cal (5-7, 2-7)
          OSU (2-10, 1-8)

          Well crap…I liked my first results better. 😉

      • 10/09/2018 at 10:16 PM #71636
        Matthew Thomas Castleton
        Participant

        Stanford would be 9-3, not 8-4 if they go 7-2 in conference. They went 2-1 in non- conference play (wins vs. San Diego State and UC Davis, loss @ Notre Dame), which would make their record 9-3 (7-2).

    • 10/08/2018 at 6:16 PM #71505
      RiseasUtes
      Participant

      Had we just had a decent offense against Washington St(or a phantom block in the back not called) this season would be looking pretty decent.  Now we have to win out to have a shot at the south.  We have the players, but we still have some tough games ahead.

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