No updates to FEI or Sp+ yet
putting the implied odds at 20%. Ill take it. That also tells me that Vegas is much much higher on Florida than the general public. Dont be surprised if thats a top 20 caliber team we are playing week one (19th in sagarin and 22nd in beta rank, id bet they are around there in SP+ as well)
Onlyu has been sort of hinting at it but because Rising is staying I think Whitt is getting into homes right now that we probably don’t otherwise.
Obviously smacking Oregon around and winning the P12 helps to. Utah’s schedule also looks even more favorable with Cristobal gone.
Rising his second year could really grow into a bigger role. He is so close. He needs a stud Wideout like a Carrington or something to really go next level.
Agreed. This has been a great season for Utah football, minus the tragedies. I also love the 19 team and always thought of it as Utahs best from top to bottom. It’s hard for me to say if this team is deeper talent wise but this team is my all time favorite.
Imagine where they would be without the slow start….This is legitimately a top 10 team right now
I am as high on the 19 team as you will find, and theres an argument to be made that team underperformed while this team overperformed, but either way you slice it, this team is probably as good as the 19 team. With the OL being the equalizer. If 19 had this OL they are a playoff team and maybe make the final.
This week slipped to #11 in Sagarin composite. #9 in Recent Performance. 55% chance of beating Oregon in Pac-12 Championship.
Interesting how the human polls follow the computer rankings by about a week. Sagarin had Utah at #10, #7 for recent performance last week. This week’s ranking should be out later today.
There is a football ranking system run by a U Memphis math professor named DP Dwiggins who puts Utah at #7. His site is called DPDsdogs.com
http://dpdsdogs.com/ncaa/fbsrank.htm
His methodology is here:
http://dpdsdogs.com/ncaa/rankexp.htm
One thing I note about his method is that there are 2 factors and each has a time-based weighting, so it is weighting recent performance high and more distant results less. Since 2 of 3 of the Utes’ losses were early in the season, that probably helps a lot. Jeff Sagarin has a separate scoring/ranking for “Recent Performance”. Utes look good there, too. Sagarin has Utes #10 in his “Overall” rankings and #7 in the Recent Performance.
I’ve actually got Utah tied for 9th in my adjusted Opponent Record ranking. A couple of caveats: 1) I don’t include opponents record until the game has been played, 2) I don’t calculate based on FCS record and I believe Sagarin does, and 3) I only calculate opponents record for games not involving the school.
I use the third option because I don’t feel like Utah, or any other school, should get extra credit for losing while at the same time being punished for winning.
If you go by straight opponents record, Utah has only played one team under .500. 6-2 parochial school, 7-0 SDSU, 4-4 WSU, 3-4 USC, 5-2 ASU, 5-2 OSU and whatever Weber’s record is. Utah’s opponents may not be getting national attention but it’s not like they’ve played dogs every week so far. 30-14 for FBS opponents.
tough schedule, much tougher circumstances. proud of these guys. lets go 1-0 this week.
