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Fivethirtyeight.com predictions for Conference

Welcome Cyclones Fans! Forums Utah Utes Sports Football Fivethirtyeight.com predictions for Conference

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    • #76200
      6
      leftyjace
      Participant

      So… interesting stuff.

      Right now, they are showing the following chances for winning the conference:
      Washington State: 30%
      Washington: 31%
      Utah: 21%
      These are the only 3 teams on the list, I am assuming the remaining 18% chance is scattered amongst others like Arizona State, USC, Arizona, Colorado, Stanford, Oregon, etc.

      But the fun thing is that you can check a few boxes and see what happens when other scenarios happen.
      If either Washington State or Washington wins out the rest of the season, they are predicted to win the conference.
      However… if Utah wins out and neither Washington or Washington State wins out, Utah is given a 62% chance to win the conference.
      Fascinating stuff.

      Anyway, here’s the linky should you want to play around with it….
      https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2018-college-football-predictions/?ex_cid=rrpromo

      Cheers!

    • #76217
      1 1
      AgouraUte
      Member

      Unfortunately, their model doesn’t account for our starting QB being out and a historically bad November record

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