Oklahoma State – let say they win out, they will have only played 9 P5s. Their OOC schedule is a complete joke.
Baylor – See above, plus they have 1 loss.
Oklahoma – a little better, still one loss but only played 10 P5s. OOC win against Tennessee.
TCI – same as Oklahoma. OOC win against Minnesota.
The national consensus is that the Pac-12 is out. I disagree. If Stanford wins out, they would have played 12 P5s with only two losses. I think that is a better resume over any team in the Big 12.
As far as us (Utah) the argument is very similar to Stanford’s. 11 P5 games with two losses trumps anything in the Big12.
Suppose we don’t play Michigan this year, would we still have Moeai? Fakailotonga for that matter? What if one or both of those guys would have turned out to be a clutch contributor?
It will be interesting to see just how much the committee values a conference championship game and decent OOC schedule.