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Interesting to note the predict the score median/average and the real score

Donate in the 2024 Fundraiser! Forums Utah Utes Sports Football Interesting to note the predict the score median/average and the real score

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    • #42175
      3
      Tony (admin)
      Keymaster

      Average: Utah 33.4 Arizona 23.1
      Median: Utah 33 Arizona 23.5.

      The predictions for Arizona’s final score were nearly dead on, the median being .5 under the actual score.  The median was within 3 of Utah’s score.

      What does this mean? Hopefully a 100% prediction against the spread so I can go to Vegas and have some fun?  LOL.

    • #42192
      ladyinred
      Participant

      Sounds good but you need to get back on the sauce for a trip to Vegas. 😜

    • #42215
      2
      colbyutahman3
      Participant

      Guess who guessed the exact score? This guy! 

    • #42259
      FtheY
      Participant

      Crazy, right? This is well documented – “the wisdom of the crowds”. I’ve always thought it was a cool way to look at things. 

      It’s like academia and test scores – they almost always follow a normal distribution. It just happens. 

      As for Vegas – past success is not always indicative of future performance ;). 

      What was the consensus on wins and losses this year based on the poll you created? Would be interesting to revist at seasons end. I bet it’s +/- 1 game. 

    • #42268
      Tony (admin)
      Keymaster

      That poll was more of a “homer” result with 8-4 in first place, then 9-3, then 7-5. I should make a page that shows all the old polls for fun.

      • #42283
        FtheY
        Participant

        Ah, that makes sense. A poll page would be cool. As always, thanks again for making this place awesome, I’m sure it’s a fairly big time investment for you. 

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