Odds of making CFP

Tagged: Football

This topic has 9 replies, 8 voices, and was last updated 1 year, 5 months ago by DataUte.

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- 06/02/2023 at 10:14 AM #189968
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  DataUte
  Participant
  
  Draftkings has put out odds to make the CFP. Pretty much as expected:
  Georgia -250
  Ohio St. -125
  Michigan +105
  Alabama +135
  USC +260
  FSU +280
  LSU +280
  Penn St. +280
  Clemson +320
  Texas +320
  ND +450
  Oregon +500
  UW +600
  OU +650
  Tenn +700
  Utah +900
  TAMU +1400
  UNC +2200
  Tulane +3000
- 06/02/2023 at 10:43 AM #189969
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  UtesRule
  Participant
  
  Why are FSU and Texas so much higher than Utah.
  
  Are there two more overrated teams each year than these two??
  - 06/02/2023 at 1:19 PM #189977
    
    DataUte
    Participant
    
    Yep – but at least these are betting odds, not actual ELO or other ratings based on performance or expectations. Just people seeing the name brands, big fan bases putting down dollars, and all those 4-5 star players that don’t pan out.
    
    I’d say USC is way overrated, but I can get it with the returning Heisman winner. But their defense will still not be good. Can’t wait to be in LA to see Utah beat them.
    
    I actually think Texas this year has a good chance to win the Big12. But they have a game or two where defense really sucks or offense just can’t score the points.
  - 06/02/2023 at 1:52 PM #189979
    
    krindor
    Participant
    
    Part of it is honestly an easier path
    
    How many ACC teams do you see there with 10-1 odds or better. Florida St and Clemson. And then UNC way down the line
    
    What about the Big 12? You’ve got Texas and …Oklahoma who is there mostly as a bet on their brand to figure it out
    
    As to the PAC, you have USC, Oregon, Washington, and Utah all in the mix. This year it’s a lot harder to get through the PAC unscathed than it is in those other conferences
- 06/02/2023 at 10:48 AM #189970
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  alexsmith
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  Betting is an interesting game. OU having better odds than Utah shows that they really create some lines as ways to bring in good money
- 06/02/2023 at 11:26 AM #189972
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  Whitty
  Participant
  
  Georgia’s schedule is so damn pathetic
  - 06/02/2023 at 1:17 PM #189976
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    DataUte
    Participant
    
    True, but the beat everyone on it. But SEC champ will always be in CFP (or if 2 losses, at least the team with only 1 loss). Sucks that we have 9 conference games AND have 2 P5 non-conference games just to bolster the recognition.
- 06/02/2023 at 2:35 PM #189981
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  D T
  Participant
  
  UW doesn’t miss us & USC this year…..Definitely not sold on them…..Their hype stems from their performance last year against a cake schedule [not to mention losing to ASU].
  
  They had only one impressive victory last year & that was in Eugene.
- 06/02/2023 at 3:37 PM #189984
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  PhiladelphiaUte
  Participant
  
  What are the Vegas odds on Caleb Williams faking another injury after going down double-digits on the scoreboard?
  - 06/03/2023 at 7:50 AM #189992
    
    Utesby1
    Participant
    
    Not a gambler so I am not sure what these numbers even mean. Can someone provide a quick explanation?
    
    I can at least understand that three PAC-12 tams have better odds of making the CFP than we do. That makes no sense to me.
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