krindor

We definitely had a lack of chunk plays against Oregon… but that’s not a new weakness. Our offense is good… but not explosive. Here’s Utah’s rank in

Plays of 10+ yards: #12/131 (excellent; worth noting that USC and Washington are tied for #1)
Plays of 20+ yards: #48/131 (not terrible, but definitely not great – right with USF, Coastal…[Read more]

All that said, I’d much rather take the harder route and try to play our way in, rather than backing in by enough other teams having to lose.

Consider me a Huskies fan for tonight.

Hmm, if Washington loses (and USC beats Notre Dame), I think we end up in an NY6.

Right now we’re #14, so would need to move up to #11. So that means 3 teams would have to drop behind us. #13 Washington would be one.

Then #8 LSU (after losing today and likely against Georgia as well) would likely put them behind us

Same story on #9 Oregon (if…[Read more]

Hadn’t thought about it…but that probably puts us in almost by default. Generally the committee won’t drop teams too much for losing in a CCG..but I’m guessing we’ll already be right even with Oregon after this week anyway, so then losing to USC would be enough for us to edge ahead

I think most of it would be favored… but not Oregon St to knock off Oregon

They say that they would normally take the next highest rated team from the conference.

Given that the only way to have USC Utah in the CCG requires Utah beating Oregon, I’d imagine Utah would stay ranked ahead of Oregon (and also Washington, who hasn’t gotten much love from the committee)

There’s actually a scenario where UCLA ends up in a 4-way tie for 2nd.

Tied with Washington, USC and Utah. All of whom they would have beat. And yet they wouldn’t win the tiebreaker in that group – Utah would.

As a bottom line here’s the biggest factors

1. Utah needs to win, that’s the biggest help. Interestingly, we can theoretically get in even with a loss to Oregon, but a loss to Colorado would likely doom us, even if we beat Oregon.

2. Generally speaking, we want UCLA to beat USC. If we beat Oregon that gives us a near-guarantee (barring us…[Read more]

If Oregon beats us and Oregon St, then they only have one conference loss and we have 2. So we’d absolutely need USC to lose to UCLA to give them 2 conference losses, otherwise both Oregon and USC would be ahead of us.

If it ends up USC, Utah, UCLA all tied with 2 losses, then it goes to UCLA since they’d have beat both us and USC

But if…[Read more]

Washington could still get in. Only way I see it is that if Utah loses to Oregon AND to Colorado (giving us 3 losses), UCLA loses to USC (giving UCLA 3 losses) and Oregon then loses to Oregon St (giving them 2 losses).

At that point 1 loss USC is Seed #1 and Washington wins the tiebreak over Oregon for Seed #2

Probably, but also we’re wanting Washington to win. As a general rule this year, the more complicated the tiebreaker is, the better it is for Utah.

Utah has (almost certainly) the toughest conference strength of schedule among the group and with more teams involved, it’s easier to get down to that tiebreaker level

Utah would need to beat Colorado for a 5 way tie, but that’s the one that confuses me the most.

Utah, USC, UCLA, Oregon, UW all at 7-2.

Assuming you’re asking for the 5-way tie scenario (which does require Utah to beat Colorado), it would be Oregon vs Utah, though the #1 or #2 status would be up in the air.

1st tiebreaker would be skipped (…[Read more]

Oregon wins out
Utah beats Colorado
UCLA wins out
Washington wins out

Oregon vs who?

Would be Oregon vs Utah. USC, Utah, UCLA, Washington would all have 2 losses. Because they didn’t all play one another, 1st tiebreaker would be skipped. 2nd and 3rd tiebreakers would go through common opponents and eliminate UCLA (for their loss to…[Read more]

In that scenario it would be Oregon. Because Washington and Oregon never played USC, the first tiebreaker would be skipped. The second tie-breaker (performance against common teams) would knock out ULCA (given that they played and lost to Arizona whereas everyone else beat them)

So it would come down to strength of conference schedule… which…[Read more]

So you think there’s fully 9 offensive skill position players that we should be using more?

It’s simple enough to wish guys we’re getting more opportunities, the hard part is deciding who you’re going to take opportunities away from to get those guys more. More Enis and Dixon and McClain means less Vele and Money Parks and Kincaid (and Kuithe…[Read more]