krindor

They say that they would normally take the next highest rated team from the conference.

Given that the only way to have USC Utah in the CCG requires Utah beating Oregon, I’d imagine Utah would stay ranked ahead of Oregon (and also Washington, who hasn’t gotten much love from the committee)

There’s actually a scenario where UCLA ends up in a 4-way tie for 2nd.

Tied with Washington, USC and Utah. All of whom they would have beat. And yet they wouldn’t win the tiebreaker in that group – Utah would.

As a bottom line here’s the biggest factors

1. Utah needs to win, that’s the biggest help. Interestingly, we can theoretically get in even with a loss to Oregon, but a loss to Colorado would likely doom us, even if we beat Oregon.

2. Generally speaking, we want UCLA to beat USC. If we beat Oregon that gives us a near-guarantee (barring us…[Read more]

If Oregon beats us and Oregon St, then they only have one conference loss and we have 2. So we’d absolutely need USC to lose to UCLA to give them 2 conference losses, otherwise both Oregon and USC would be ahead of us.

If it ends up USC, Utah, UCLA all tied with 2 losses, then it goes to UCLA since they’d have beat both us and USC

But if…[Read more]

Washington could still get in. Only way I see it is that if Utah loses to Oregon AND to Colorado (giving us 3 losses), UCLA loses to USC (giving UCLA 3 losses) and Oregon then loses to Oregon St (giving them 2 losses).

At that point 1 loss USC is Seed #1 and Washington wins the tiebreak over Oregon for Seed #2

Probably, but also we’re wanting Washington to win. As a general rule this year, the more complicated the tiebreaker is, the better it is for Utah.

Utah has (almost certainly) the toughest conference strength of schedule among the group and with more teams involved, it’s easier to get down to that tiebreaker level

Utah would need to beat Colorado for a 5 way tie, but that’s the one that confuses me the most.

Utah, USC, UCLA, Oregon, UW all at 7-2.

Assuming you’re asking for the 5-way tie scenario (which does require Utah to beat Colorado), it would be Oregon vs Utah, though the #1 or #2 status would be up in the air.

1st tiebreaker would be skipped (…[Read more]

Oregon wins out
Utah beats Colorado
UCLA wins out
Washington wins out

Oregon vs who?

Would be Oregon vs Utah. USC, Utah, UCLA, Washington would all have 2 losses. Because they didn’t all play one another, 1st tiebreaker would be skipped. 2nd and 3rd tiebreakers would go through common opponents and eliminate UCLA (for their loss to…[Read more]

In that scenario it would be Oregon. Because Washington and Oregon never played USC, the first tiebreaker would be skipped. The second tie-breaker (performance against common teams) would knock out ULCA (given that they played and lost to Arizona whereas everyone else beat them)

So it would come down to strength of conference schedule… which…[Read more]

So you think there’s fully 9 offensive skill position players that we should be using more?

It’s simple enough to wish guys we’re getting more opportunities, the hard part is deciding who you’re going to take opportunities away from to get those guys more. More Enis and Dixon and McClain means less Vele and Money Parks and Kincaid (and Kuithe…[Read more]

I’m eastern time zone. These 10:30 Eastern start times are killer. Means the game doesn’t end until 2 in the morning…

Feeling a little justified now despite the many downvotes.

Like I said, 15 is a fine spot to be. Nobody would be too upset about it if we’d dropped to 18 last week and then gone up to 15 this week. And it’s still high enough that we’re largely in control of our own destiny. Just have to prove it on the field.

Not seeing the “softness” tbh. Not saying it necessarily isn’t there, but we’re two games in and one is FCS and can’t tell us much.

And against Florida, our issue (from what I saw) wasn’t being soft so much as not being disciplined and containing. If anything we were overaggressive. Which is a problem for sure, but not indicative of being soft.…[Read more]

He’s a 3* by composite, a 4* in the rankings from 247 specifically.

I tend to just go by the composite, otherwise you end up picking and choosing and calling lots of people 4*s

Hard to read too much into Bumphis yet. He might not have immediately turned just-a-guy WR into studs, but the real question is if he can get the higher end types onto the team.

Which is… tough to assess. He’s been here for just over a year which means half of the 2022 recruiting cycle and the 2023 cycle.

WR recruits in that time are
Ryan…[Read more]

By “we have to stop ALMOST winning” I mean that we need to do that, not that it’s a statistical inevitability that we will

Realistically, you’re right that it’s probably not as bad as it feels right now. But the truth is that Utah is so close to taking that next step as a program. And we’re at the point now where moral victories and impressive showings are good, but not enough.

Punch it in there at the end and it’s a whole different story. I know it’s barely a…[Read more]