krindor
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krindor started the topic Playoff teams under proposed 3-3-2-2-1 model in the forum Football 6 months, 3 weeks ago
Wrote up a huge breakdown of how the last decade of playoffs would have broken down with the currently discussed 3-3-2-2-1 model (3 autobids each for SEC and B1G, 2 each for ACC and Big 12, 1 for G5 and then 3 at-large).
Bottom line it’s very good for the Big 12 and benefits the Big 12 more than just about any other. Lots of info -…[Read more]
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krindor replied to the topic 50% of Total CFB viewership from only 18 brands from 2016-23 in the forum Football 6 months, 3 weeks ago
Unfortunately I don’t have data back further than 6 years. And I could give you the year by year data….but then you get into small sample sizes and things get noisy, depending more on specific matchups. Which is why I like to use a rolling 5 year average.
And as to Nebraska, they get attention and discussion by random non-Nebraska fans.…[Read more]
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krindor replied to the topic Michigan has 18 players invited to the Combine in the forum Football 6 months, 3 weeks ago
I don’t think a single one of those programs is complaining about what he did there. He built Stanford up…and then they spent about a decade still contending under the guy who followed him. Built the 49ers up, and then left but they’re still doing well. Got Michigan a national championship.
Yeah, he left all of them, but how many Chargers fans…[Read more]
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krindor replied to the topic Joel Klatt’s way too early preseason poll – Utah #8 in the forum Football 6 months, 3 weeks ago
With the exception of last season (massive injuries and Rising unexpectedly out all year), preseason predictions seem to be pretty accurate for Utah. Here’s every year Utah was preseason ranked
- 2023: Started 14, Ended Unranked (#32) – Difference of -18
- 2022: Started 7, Finished 10 – Difference of -3
- 2021: Started 24, Finished 10 – Difference…
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krindor replied to the topic Stewart Mandel's CFB Premier League in the forum Football 6 months, 3 weeks ago
Yeah, I go back and forth on which I prefer. I generally like this arrangement more…but with the importance of finishing top 2 in your division I hate throwing Penn St, Ohio St, and Michigan all into the same division. Either one would work though
And yeah, Utah would barely be in for either setup, but I based it on what teams have drawn the…[Read more]
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krindor replied to the topic Stewart Mandel's CFB Premier League in the forum Football 6 months, 3 weeks ago
Alternate division arrangements (less balance between divisions but more respect for history)
FOX Conference
West: Oregon, USC, Washington, Utah
Central: Oklahoma, Nebraska, Oklahoma St, Colorado
North: Notre Dame, Wisconsin, Iowa, Minnesota
East: Ohio St, Michigan, Penn St, Michigan StESPN Conference
West: Texas, LSU, Texas A&M, TCU
Central:…[Read more] -
krindor replied to the topic Stewart Mandel's CFB Premier League in the forum Football 6 months, 3 weeks ago
Gets tons of money to networks ✅
Keeps regionalism and fosters rivalries (especially in division) ✅
Gives objective criteria for postseason participation ✅
Emphasizes importance of regular season while keeping playoffs an end-of-season ratings bonanza ✅ -
krindor replied to the topic Stewart Mandel's CFB Premier League in the forum Football 6 months, 3 weeks ago
This is really interesting. I hadn’t seen this, but I did spend yesterday (this morning for most of you) putting together a 32 team superleague based on the highest drawing brands.
And it looks almost the exact same. Every team he listed is included, but a few others sneak in (Arkansas, Colorado, Minnesota, and South Carolina).
Mine would be…[Read more]
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krindor replied to the topic 50% of Total CFB viewership from only 18 brands from 2016-23 in the forum Football 6 months, 3 weeks ago
I don’t work in media, but I do a fair amount of work in data analytics. I pull the data from sportsmediawatch, and have every game from the last 6 years in a nice spreadsheet to organize it different ways.
As to the Utah brand, I think it’s definitely grown, but if you’re expecting it to just come up in random conversations, it’s certainly not…[Read more]
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krindor replied to the topic 50% of Total CFB viewership from only 18 brands from 2016-23 in the forum Football 6 months, 4 weeks ago
If you go simply by average in rated games, then yes, Army and Navy show up (though Navy is normally based on two games – Army and Notre Dame).
Which is why I don’t like those metrics. I use Viewership Score which is the last thing I have listed there and which I’ve developed specifically to account for those issues.
Ignoring unrated games or…[Read more]
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krindor replied to the topic 50% of Total CFB viewership from only 18 brands from 2016-23 in the forum Football 6 months, 4 weeks ago
So I made adjustments for everyone to keep them on equal footing. Here’s an easy hypothetical example of what I’m talking about.
Imagine in a particular season Utah were to draw 2M against USC, Washington and Oregon, and 1M each in the other 7 games on rated channels (with the FCS game and the game vs Arizona on unrated PAC12 Network). That’s…[Read more]
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krindor replied to the topic 50% of Total CFB viewership from only 18 brands from 2016-23 in the forum Football 6 months, 4 weeks ago
Over the last 5 years (2019, 2020, 2021, 2022, 2023), theres a few different ways to rank teams, here’s where Utah finishes in each (among P5 and selected high-profile G5 teams who have been tangentially mentioned in expansion talks)
All Games (including CCG, bowls etc)
- Counting unrated games as zero viewership: Utah is #20 with 1.871M…
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krindor replied to the topic 50% of Total CFB viewership from only 18 brands from 2016-23 in the forum Football 6 months, 4 weeks ago
The Colorado game wasn’t actually Nielsen rated, so there was zero benefit from that.
There are some issues with this ranking of teams though. The big question is what to do with games that aren’t Nielsen rated.
Some (like this one) use just the average of Nielsen-rated games. Which is terrible because then you end up with a school like…[Read more]
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krindor replied to the topic CFP meeting today expected to get interesting in the forum Football 6 months, 4 weeks ago
Capitalism is still the worst economic system that happens to be better than all of the others. I think Churchill said that.
Not a knock on capitalism, but the quote you’re thinking of that’s attributed to Churchill was about democracy being the worst form of government that’s better than all the rest. Not about capitalism
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krindor replied to the topic Predicting 2024 Utah Football Season (based on SP+) in the forum Football 7 months ago
Yup, from a betting perspective, it turns out that Vegas has a pretty good idea what they’re doing. There’s really not any value on the over. The under has a bit more value, just given the possibility of major injury/upheaval, but it’s really not a great bet either.
Vegas did a solid job setting the O/U, it’s almost like they’re professionals at this
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krindor started the topic Predicting 2024 Utah Football Season (based on SP+) in the forum Football 7 months ago
<p>Connelly just put out his SP+ ratings, rating Utah as the #17 FBS team with an SP-rating of 16.4.</p>
<p>Opponents are as follows</p>
<table style=”width: 100.075%;”>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td style=”width: 19.9583%;”>Opponent</td>
<td style=”width: 19.1206%;”>SP+ Rank / Rating</td>
<td style=”width: 60.9023%;”>SP+ Win Probability</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td…[Read more] -
krindor replied to the topic All-Decade Utes (2014-2023): UPDATED in the forum Football 7 months, 1 week ago
Yeah, there were a bunch of really strong safeties so I tried to list them elsewhere if possible. In particular, cornerback wasn’t stellar which is why Blackmon was a clear choice for that CB/S /nickel role on the first team.
Pulling Blackmon away from there would mean putting another CB on there. I already cheated a bit by putting Vaki in…[Read more]
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krindor replied to the topic All-Decade Utes (2014-2023): UPDATED in the forum Football 7 months, 1 week ago
Most teams use at least two RB in rotation, which is why. Honestly, if we were just listing 1 RB it would also hurt since we’d then be leaving off Tavion, Joe Williams, Ty Jordan and JaQuinden.
You’ve made good points and I’ve made some updates. Dimick should be there – he was overlooked since he didn’t go to the NFL, but that’s irrelevant here.…[Read more]
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krindor replied to the topic All-Decade Utes (2014-2023): UPDATED in the forum Football 7 months, 1 week ago
Fair – I agree with you. That was sentimentality getting the better of me
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krindor replied to the topic All-Decade Utes (2014-2023): UPDATED in the forum Football 7 months, 1 week ago
Lowell Lotulelei was a miss, absolutely. I’ve added him in.
Blechen I didn’t realize went through 2014, thought he was further back and not eligible. Still though, I have 3 safeties there so I want more coverage if possible.
Norris I came very close on. I reordered him onto the 2nd team about 5 times and wouldn’t argue at all with him on there.…[Read more]
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