leftyjace
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leftyjaceParticipant
Found the link
https://www.nfl.com/news/dolphins-to-start-qb-tyler-huntley-against-titans-on-monday
Looks like it’s due to injury and he’s getting a crack at it
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leftyjaceParticipant
Ya, but… I want to sign up for the live TV stuff for the remainder of the season.
It’s all good, I found a way to watch it, but what a pain. -
leftyjaceParticipant
That’s not… entirely… accurate.
Desmond picked Utah as well.
AND DESMOND AND “KIRBY” WERE RIGHT!!! WOOOOOOT!!!!!
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leftyjaceParticipant
From the article, at the risk of getting in trouble:
How do you evaluate college football’s next great quarterbacks?
Inspired by Kevin Cole’s work investigating NFL QBs, I built a model that attempts to capture how a lot of us think about quarterbacks and turn it into predictions about their future performance, specifically their success rate. We can use this model to rank the projected starting quarterbacks in college football’s Power 5 conferences and illustrate the floor and ceiling for each player.
I define success rate as the percentage of plays that generated positive Expected Points Added (EPA), which I’ve also adjusted for down and distance and strength of the opposing defense. For those unfamiliar with the concept of EPA, a helpful analytics primer can be found here.
(And then there was a link to another article)
By using data such as recruiting rankings, size and a player’s conference, I can incorporate many of the common beliefs we all have about these quarterbacks to produce a baseline career projection before they set foot on campus. From there, I update this projection as they begin to play and slowly place more weight on their actual performance than priors.
My model splits out passing and rushing into two components with their own projections. I then calculate a weighted score from the median projections, with 85 percent weight on a quarterback’s passing and 15 percent on their rushing to produce the rankings.
The model is hardly infallible and should be considered a starting point for debate, rather than the be-all and end-all. Players expected to break out who have fewer career snaps (Drew Allar, Joe Milton) will be ranked lower because the model has more uncertainty about them. The model also doesn’t have knowledge of schematic differences, athleticism or scouting reports. Despite these limitations, I believe this model is a useful tool in evaluating quarterbacks because the starting quarterback’s rating has shown to be a good predictor of future individual success and has a strong relationship to winning games.
Now, let’s get to the rankings, which here are limited to projected Power 5 starting quarterbacks. These will be fluid through the season as more data is added. After the ratings, The Athletic’s David Ubben weighs on who the model underrates and overrates and who we can expect to move up and down the rankings as the 2023 season progresses.
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leftyjaceParticipant
The peer review process is conducted upon the original theory that is presented. The person that presents the theory includes evidence of the proof of his theory, and it gets reviewed.
Telling the person who is doing the review that he has to post proof that the original theory is wrong without expecting the person who posted the original theory to back up his claims with evidence seems a little out of order to me. -
leftyjaceParticipant
I think a big part of why they announced the “coach in waiting” thing was to provide for continuity once Whit DOES leave. They can’t say they didn’t know. They’ve already mulled over what it will be like with the change in head coach. So I think less people would hit the portal once Whit leaves than most anyone would think.
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leftyjaceParticipant
I heard somewhere he was a graduate transfer with two years of eligibility left, but I could be wrong. He’s a hard worker though – I have no doubt he got his Bachelors in 3 years.
The kid is smart. He knows he won’t be in the NFL. He knows he has value as a starter at FCS or defent backup at FBS.
This is an opportunity for him to diversify between his bachelors and his masters, and have both obtained while on scholarship. Plus possibly he can hope to transfer to an institution that is top flight for his intended masters program.
But all of this is just pure speculation on my part. If I were him, that’s what I would do to prep for the real world post-football.
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leftyjaceParticipant
You know what… I think you’re right. I saw a screenshot that someone posted on Twitter that had Desmond picking the U, but I can’t find it. And when I did a search for it again I only found one that had Desmond picking USC. So…
MEA CULPA! hehe
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leftyjaceParticipant
That’s why it’s a good read…
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leftyjaceParticipant
1. Caleb Williams, USC
2. Cam Rising, Utah
3. Will Rogers, Mississippi State
4. Taulia Tagovailoa, Maryland
5. Drake Maye, North Carolina
6. Bo Nix, Oregon
7. Kedon Slovis, BYU
8. Sam Hartman, Notre Dame
9. Payton Thorne, Auburn
10. J.J. McCarthy, Michigan
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