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Mississippi Valley State @  Utah
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popbirch

  • based on stats from 2 prior games (not really enough to be super reliable)
    vs ISU  45-10
    at usc utes win 30-27
    wsu utes lose 33-26
    OSU utes win 24-15
    cal utes win 25-17
    wash utes win 28-21
    ucla utes win 37-10
    ua Utes win 43-31
    colorado utes win 34-31
     
    The pac 12 is ours for the taking.  We have all the pieces to make it great.  8-1…[Read more]

  • popbirch replied to the topic usc rush def in the forum Football 5 years, 2 months ago

    Yup. Good news is it’s very likely we can execute that. Those things are our strengths. That’s how you beat an “air raid”. We can do all that. Control the clock, score points on long drives, limit turnovers, and keep their def on the field. It’s actually a good match up for us to win.

    The scary games are ones against really solid run defen…[Read more]

  • popbirch started the topic usc rush def in the forum Football 5 years, 2 months ago

    Before you get too worked up about USC winning the south they have a bad rush defense.  
    Against Fresno they gave up 206 yards. For reference the following week minnesota held FSU to 57 yard.  Moss will tear them up.  
     
    Utah rushes for 227/game and will likely do that or more against usc def.  Last year Moss had 140 on 25 carries for 5.6…[Read more]

  • popbirch started the topic pac 12 in the forum Football 5 years, 2 months ago

    It would have been nice for oregon to beat auburn.  
    That was probably the only winnable OOC game that mattered for national perception.  
    Good news is that we don’t play oregon until possibly the end of year when people will have mostly forgot the loss especially if they play well going forward.  
    The only other games ooc are probably losses…[Read more]

  • popbirch started the topic game analysis in the forum Football 5 years, 12 months ago

    The matchup for tomorrow is favorable for the Utes tbh.   From almost every angle this should be a close game with a few plays going to either team will determine the outcome.
     
    Statistically speaking the teams are very closely matched.  
    UW def holds teams to -11 compared to their opponents offensive season average
    Utah def holds teams to…[Read more]

  • popbirch started the topic Rush D in the forum Football 6 years, 1 month ago

    utes are officially #1 rush defense in the country.  
    74 yds/game. 
    Msu and Iowa are tied for second at 79/game. 
     
    Good stuff. They are fun to watch. That series after the muffed punt was a great 4 downs of defense. 

  • First off, this is a very winnable game.  Utah is a good team right now and the mistakes that occurred in the Stanford/usc games are fixable.  The question is always what timeframe will it take to fix that.  Right now this team is living and dying on turnovers because of offensive issues.  We can’t seem to get over that redzone TD issue. Good news…[Read more]

  • popbirch replied to the topic some thoughts in the forum Football 7 years, 1 month ago

    I appreciate the responses. I don’t take it harshly at all. I get my data from cfbstats.com

    As with anything stats related I agree its all about normalization and what those numbers may say about the future. For example, USC numbers looked amazing until they lost their best WR and 3/5th of their oline. So they still lead the conf in a lot…[Read more]

  • popbirch replied to the topic some thoughts in the forum Football 7 years, 1 month ago

    We will see about the turnovers, but right now we lead the conference in INTs(9), second in forced fumbles and first in total tos (15). Also that’s with only 5 games. The other 5 game teams are ranked 10,11,12th in total tos.

    As for the secondary they are 3rd in passes defended and first place in both opposing qbr and completion percentage.…[Read more]

  • popbirch started the topic some thoughts in the forum Football 7 years, 1 month ago

    Tough loss, mostly because it felt so winnable even with all the mistakes.   This team has definitely shown some promise but makes a lot of errors.  Stanford is a good team and has only lost to 2 top 15 teams (USC,SDSU).  We had every chance to get a win.  We held them to 13 points under their season avg.  Normally they run for 260, only 196…[Read more]

  • Hes going to be even more electric and highlighted in the Taylor offense.

  • I am just as frustrated as the next fan but I think there’s been growth.
    And I agree that not a lot of people saw colorado winning the south but everyone that watched them play last year knew they would be a lot better this year. They lose a lot of seniors though and will likely be a little worse next year while I think Utah will be a little…[Read more]

  • Think back to the end of 2012 when we were pleading for offensive stability so we could go to bowl game again.  A lot of people were preaching to stop the OC carousel to let TW1 have some stability so he could grow.  2013 comes around and we were a lot better but still finished 5-7, no bowl.   Again a change at OC.  Now 2014 comes and we…[Read more]

  • Oregon has a prolific offense still but the worst defense they have had in a long time.
    Oregons worst offensive game was Usc and they scored 20 pts.  They average 37 a game but they haven’t beat a single team with a winning record.   ASU is their best win (54-35).  They have been able to keep some games close (3 pt losses to Nebraska, cal and…[Read more]

  • Utah would win any 6-3 or 7-2 threeway tie. In order for that to happen, without us needing to beat, Colorado needs to lose two more (UA and WSU).
    In order for that to definitely give us the championship win or lose to colorado, like you said, USC needs to lose either to UW or UCLA (doesn’t matter which) to get to three losses but they can’t…[Read more]

  • popbirch started the topic utes vs asu in the forum Football 8 years ago

    A little utes vs ASU analysis 

    Scoring offense Utah 29.2/game vs 35.7  ASU win

    Rush offense 214 /game vs 155/game utah wins

    pass offense 212/game vs 239/game asu win

    scoring defense 22/game vs 36 game Utah wins

    rush defense 128/game vs 115/game asu wins

    pass defense 237/game vs 397/game (last in the nation) utah wins

    adj scoring offense,…[Read more]

  • popbirch started the topic utes vs asu in the forum Football 8 years ago

    A little utes vs ASU analysis 
    Scoring offense Utah 29.2/game vs 35.7  ASU win
    Rush offense 214 /game vs 155/game utah wins
    pass offense 212/game vs 239/game asu win
    scoring defense 22/game vs 36 game Utah wins
    rush defense 128/game vs 115/game asu wins
    pass defense 237/game vs 397/game (last in the nation) utah wins
    adj scoring offense,…[Read more]

  • If Colorado loses two more and beats utah for utahs 3rd loss and USC loses one more we would win that 3 way tie. The tie breakers go as follows: 1. head to head against the teams in the tie. If USC loses any of their remaining games and finishes 6-3 they would be 1-1 against the other tied teams. The best colorado can do is be 1-1 with a utah…[Read more]

  • Colorado’s got 1 loss. If they lose two more, the most likely would be WSU (North) and Utah (South). That would leave them with 2 losses in the South. If Utah loses to Colorado, Utah would have 3 losses with 2 in the South, but Colorado still owns the tie breaker. USC’s likely remaining loss is at UW which would place USC with 3 losses, 2 in the…[Read more]

  • The Brian Allen strip/missed tackle that resulted in a td was partly fogals fault. If Mwilliams was in that play would have been stopped.

    Fogal is supposed to be over the top on that play but takes an atrocious angle to the catch and then runs full speed at the WR to make up for the bad angle and then makes a weak arm tackle attempt.

    If Allen…[Read more]

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