shakeitsugaree

That makes two of us

Utah’s recruiting classes have consistently been ranked by 24/7 as being somewhere in the 30s Link

There are other sites with different scores, but none of them (to my knowledge) ranks us anywhere near the ‘blue bloods’ of college football.

Kyle consistently does more with less.

This is absolutely false. UCLA has had 6 top 20 classes 2011-present source

What you are referring to is a descriptive, not predictive, statistic. It takes the summation of the game’s events up to a discrete point in time and tells you the obvious – but it is still based on the events in the game up to the point at which you are looking at it.

Think of it like this: Utah is up 75-3; Huntley throws a pick as the time on t…[Read more]

Whitt coaches kids into the NFL

There was a 10 year period in the 90s when USC wasn’t USC because of consistent coaching deficiencies until Pete Carroll took over.

Source?

This thought that it is a static paradigm and USC is USC and that is all there is to it is not backed up by the data.

USC conference winning percentage in Pac12: 0.703 source
USC Head Coaches in Pac12: K…[Read more]

Yes, @Utah had a nice post with these stats

Are you referring to ESPN’s black box statistics? Until a formula is published for these, I don’t give them a lot of merit.

As far as Bayesian statistics, again, I’m unfamiliar with ‘time on clock’ as being a variable in any football metrics, Bayesian or not. Can you clarify?

My question was regarding the specific metrics that use ‘time on clock’ as a component; I am not aware of any, and the website you linked to doesn’t have any either. Can you clarify?

Also, while the information in your website you referenced is quite old (2010), the author of the website does seem to have a grasp of statistical analysis, as…[Read more]

I’m still confused by the ‘Mr. Mediocre’ moniker.

So, you can’t refute any of my points, and are more interested in ‘exposing’ something about me? Seems productive.

You have a good night, M-Mad89. Welcome to UteHub – try to be nicer to other posters.

Who is Mr. Mediocre?

You are the one who gave conference winning percentage as the ultimate measure of a HC’s worth.

You are acting like a Zoob. I say this based on your unreasonable and irrational expectations.

You are ignoring the fact that conference winning percentage in this division is most strongly correlated to talent depth – or, can y…[Read more]

You completely missed the point.

I didn’t include 2017 because it is statistically insignificant.

There is a top team and a bottom team in the Pac12 south. The other four are not statistically different from one another.

The only trend that can be concluded from winning percentage is the quality of recruiting.

Your expectations are irrational.

Your expectations are irrational. The only team whose in conference record matches your criteria also has had the greatest number of head coaching changes. So, you can’t equate in conference winning percentage with who the head coach is.

You can, however, correlate conference record with recruiting. Recruiting is directly correlated with h…[Read more]

And, after some reflection – one could make a case that even UCLA’s record isn’t statistically different than the Arizona schools and Utah.

So, if you want Utah to have a 70% in conference winning percentage, you need to figure out a way to make Utah USC.

Curious why you arrived at a ‘winning conference record’ as the criterion for performance.

I took a look at the conference records of Pac12 south teams (average through 2016):

USC 0.703
UCLA 0.574
ASU 0.531
Utah 0.481
Arizona 0.389
Colorado 0.241

Utah is literally one win away from a 0.500 record – and you think that’s coaching? The coaching…[Read more]

No, this is the point. The ‘when and what circumstances’ are assigned by you, and are not predictive of outcome.

Throw picks, you increase your chance of losing – true in the first quarter, true in the fourth quarter.

I don’t think Whitt is going anywhere

Which was worst the Huntley INT he recovers from or throwing a pick late in the game to that long haired linebacker?

They are the same

I understand your point, what I am saying is that your point is based on emotion and not predictive outcome.